AI Match Insights

First League Sep 19, 2025

Levski Sofia

Home
VS
17:30

Ludogorets Razgrad

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Levski Sofia Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Ludogorets Razgrad Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.92 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.5
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Levski Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Levski Sofia Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Levski So… vs Lokomotiv… 1-2
Aug 31 Levski So… vs CSKA 1948 2-1
Aug 17 Levski So… vs Botev Vra… 0-0
Aug 10 Levski So… vs Spartak V… 2-1
Aug 03 Levski So… vs Slavia So… 2-0
Jul 27 Levski So… vs Septemvri… 1-2
Jul 20 Levski So… vs Montana 5-0
Ludogorets Razgrad Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Ludogoret… vs Lokomotiv… 1-1
Aug 31 Ludogoret… vs Botev Plo… 2-1
Aug 28 Ludogoret… vs Shkëndija… 4-1
Aug 21 Ludogoret… vs Shkëndija… 2-1
Aug 17 Ludogoret… vs Lokomotiv… 0-0
Aug 12 Ludogoret… vs Ferencvár… 3-0
Aug 09 Ludogoret… vs Slavia So… 0-3
Aug 06 Ludogoret… vs Ferencvár… 0-0
Aug 02 Ludogoret… vs Dobrudzha 2-1
Jul 30 Ludogoret… vs HNK Rijeka 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Levski Sofia in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Levski Sofia Power 0
Ludogorets Razgrad Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Levski Sofia Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Ludogorets Razgrad Position

Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.