AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Aug 18, 2025

Septemvri Sofia

Home
VS
16:00

Dobrudzha

Away
AI Predictions 42.0% Confidence
Septemvri Sofia Win
30.0%
Draw
28.0%
Dobrudzha Win
42.0%
Away Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.43 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Septemvri Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Dobrudzha Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Septemvri Sofia Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 11 Septemvri… vs Beroe 2-3
Aug 01 Septemvri… vs CSKA 1948 2-1
Jul 27 Septemvri… vs Levski So… 1-2
Jul 19 Septemvri… vs Ludogoret… 5-0
May 11 Septemvri… vs CSKA 1948 2-0
Mar 16 Septemvri… vs Slavia Pr… 4-2
Mar 03 Septemvri… vs Ludogoret… 0-0
Dec 03 Septemvri… vs CSKA 1948 2-0
Nov 24 Septemvri… vs Beroe 2-0
Oct 20 Septemvri… vs Ludogoret… 0-2
Dobrudzha Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 08 Dobrudzha vs CSKA 1948 2-1
Aug 02 Dobrudzha vs Ludogoret… 2-1
Jul 28 Dobrudzha vs Slavia So… 2-1
Jul 21 Dobrudzha vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Septemvri Sofia struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Septemvri Sofia to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Septemvri Sofia Power 0
Dobrudzha Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Septemvri Sofia Position

+1

Position Gap

16

Dobrudzha Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.