AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Aug 16, 2025

Beroe

Home
VS
18:15

Botev Plovdiv

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Beroe Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Botev Plovdiv Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.42 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Beroe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Botev Plovdiv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Beroe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 11 Beroe vs Septemvri… 2-3
Aug 04 Beroe vs Cherno Mo… 4-0
Jul 26 Beroe vs CSKA 1948 1-1
Jul 21 Beroe vs Spartak V… 0-0
May 26 Beroe vs Slavia Pr… 3-1
May 10 Beroe vs Slavia Pr… 1-2
Apr 18 Beroe vs Cherno Mo… 1-1
Apr 11 Beroe vs CSKA 1948 2-0
Mar 01 Beroe vs Slavia Pr… 0-3
Feb 16 Beroe vs Ludogoret… 2-1
Botev Plovdiv Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Botev Plo… vs Lokomotiv… 0-1
Aug 04 Botev Plo… vs Arda Kard… 0-5
Jul 27 Botev Plo… vs Cherno Mo… 2-1
Jul 19 Botev Plo… vs CSKA Sofia 1-1
May 26 Botev Plo… vs CSKA Sofia 0-4
May 18 Botev Plo… vs Slavia Pr… 2-1
May 09 Botev Plo… vs CSKA Sofia 3-0
May 04 Botev Plo… vs Slavia Pr… 3-2
Apr 18 Botev Plo… vs Lokomotiv… 1-1
Apr 05 Botev Plo… vs Cherno Mo… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Botev Plovdiv struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Beroe Power 0
Botev Plovdiv Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Beroe Position

-2

Position Gap

11

Botev Plovdiv Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.