AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Aug 15, 2025

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Home
VS
18:15

Slavia Sofia

Away
AI Predictions 62.5% Confidence
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win
62.5%
Draw
21.5%
Slavia Sofia Win
16.0%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.90 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Slavia Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 11 Lokomotiv… vs Arda Kard… 0-0
Aug 02 Lokomotiv… vs CSKA Sofia 1-0
Jul 28 Lokomotiv… vs Montana 1-1
Jul 21 Lokomotiv… vs Dobrudzha 1-0
Slavia Sofia Form 2.5%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Slavia So… vs Ludogoret… 0-3
Aug 03 Slavia So… vs Levski So… 2-0
Jul 28 Slavia So… vs Dobrudzha 2-1
Jul 20 Slavia So… vs Botev Vra… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Slavia Sofia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Power 0
Slavia Sofia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Slavia Sofia Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.