AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Oct 05, 2025

CD Motagua

Home
VS
01:30

GĂ©nesis

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
CD Motagua Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
GĂ©nesis Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.96 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CD Motagua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
GĂ©nesis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
CD Motagua Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 CD Motagua vs LD Alajue… 1-2
Sep 24 CD Motagua vs LD Alajue… 0-1
Sep 21 CD Motagua vs Juticalpa 0-0
Sep 17 CD Motagua vs Platense … 1-2
Sep 14 CD Motagua vs Lobos Upn… 3-3
Sep 10 CD Motagua vs Atlético … 0-3
Sep 01 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 3-2
Aug 27 CD Motagua vs Deportivo… 0-0
Aug 23 CD Motagua vs Victoria 0-1
Aug 18 CD Motagua vs CD Marath… 3-3
GĂ©nesis Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Génesis vs Lobos Upn… 2-3
Sep 25 GĂ©nesis vs Juticalpa 1-1
Sep 20 Génesis vs Platense … 1-1
Sep 15 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-1
Sep 13 GĂ©nesis vs CD Olimpia 3-2
Aug 30 GĂ©nesis vs Victoria 1-0
Aug 24 Génesis vs Atlético … 2-1
Aug 16 GĂ©nesis vs Olancho 1-3
Aug 09 Génesis vs CD Marath… 1-0
Jul 26 GĂ©nesis vs CD Motagua 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 26, 2025 GĂ©nesis 2 - 1 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

MASTER: CD Motagua to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
CD Motagua Power 0
GĂ©nesis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.