AI Match Insights
Primera DivisiĂłn Apr 04, 2025
UCV
HomeVS
21:30
Monagas SC
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
UCV Win
Draw
Monagas SC Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
Combined: 67%
Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.34 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.2
Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
UCV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Monagas SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%)
1-0 (18%)
3-0 (16%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
UCV Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29 | UCV vs Zamora | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | UCV vs Carabobo … | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | UCV vs Yaracuyan… | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | UCV vs Puerto Ca… | 1-0 |
| Feb 23 | UCV vs Portugues… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | UCV vs Estudiant… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | UCV vs Deportivo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 02 | UCV vs Real Espp… | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | UCV vs Academia … | 1-1 |
| Aug 14 | UCV vs Monagas SC | 1-3 |
Monagas SC Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30 | Monagas SC vs Metropoli… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | Monagas SC vs Zamora | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Monagas SC vs Carabobo … | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Monagas SC vs Yaracuyan… | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | Monagas SC vs Puerto Ca… | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | Monagas SC vs Portugues… | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Monagas SC vs Estudiant… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Monagas SC vs Deportivo… | 1-4 |
| Jan 25 | Monagas SC vs Real Espp… | 1-1 |
| Nov 17 | Monagas SC vs Real Espp… | 0-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- UCV in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2024 | Monagas SC | 1 - 3 | UCV | Primera Divisi… |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCV | 1 - 1 | Monagas SC | Primera Divisi… |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Monagas SC | 1 - 0 | UCV | Primera Divisi… |
| Mar 12, 2023 | UCV | 0 - 2 | Monagas SC | Primera Divisi… |
| Jul 28, 2022 | UCV | 0 - 2 | Monagas SC | Primera Divisi… |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Monagas SC | 1 - 0 | UCV | Primera Divisi… |
| Sep 16, 2021 | Monagas SC | 2 - 1 | UCV | Primera Divisi… |
| Jul 31, 2021 | UCV | 3 - 0 | Monagas SC | Primera Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: UCV to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
UCV Power
0
Monagas SC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
UCV Position+10
Position Gap13
Monagas SC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.