AI Match Insights

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Primera Division Oct 19, 2025

Alianza

Home
VS
00:00

Hércules

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Alianza Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Hércules Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.73 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.5 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Alianza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Hércules Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Alianza Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 14 Alianza vs Arsenal 4-0
Oct 12 Alianza vs Isidro Me… 1-0
Oct 10 Alianza vs Sudan 0-0
Oct 05 Alianza vs Platense 2-1
Sep 28 Alianza vs Firpo 0-5
Sep 25 Alianza vs Cacahuati… 2-1
Sep 22 Alianza vs Inter 0-1
Sep 14 Alianza vs Fuerte Sa… 1-0
Sep 07 Alianza vs Zacatecol… 0-1
Sep 04 Alianza vs Municipal… 3-1
Hércules Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Hércules vs Zacatecol… 2-1
Oct 07 Hércules vs Municipal… 0-1
Sep 30 Hércules vs Águila 1-3
Sep 25 Hércules vs FAS 2-0
Sep 14 Hércules vs Isidro Me… 3-1
Sep 12 Hércules vs Platense 1-3
Sep 04 Hércules vs Firpo 2-0
Aug 31 Hércules vs Cacahuati… 0-5
Aug 24 Hércules vs Inter 1-3
Aug 16 Hércules vs Alianza 2-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hércules struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Hércules 2 - 5 Alianza Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Alianza to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alianza Power 0
Hércules Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Alianza Position

+8

Position Gap

11

Hércules Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.