AI Match Insights

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Primera Division Oct 19, 2025

Municipal Limeño

Home
VS
21:20

Águila

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Municipal Limeño Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Águila Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.09 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Municipal Limeño Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Águila Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Municipal Limeño Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Municipal… vs FAS 2-1
Oct 07 Municipal… vs Hércules 0-1
Sep 28 Municipal… vs Isidro Me… 3-2
Sep 25 Municipal… vs Platense 1-0
Sep 22 Municipal… vs Firpo 1-1
Sep 14 Municipal… vs Cacahuati… 2-1
Sep 07 Municipal… vs Inter 1-0
Sep 04 Municipal… vs Alianza 3-1
Aug 31 Municipal… vs Zacatecol… 1-0
Aug 28 Municipal… vs Isidro Me… 1-2
Águila Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Águila vs Hércules 1-3
Sep 25 Águila vs Isidro Me… 1-2
Sep 21 Águila vs Platense 2-1
Sep 14 Águila vs Firpo 1-0
Sep 07 Águila vs Cacahuati… 0-3
Sep 04 Águila vs Inter 2-0
Aug 28 Águila vs Real Este… 2-0
Aug 23 Águila vs Zacatecol… 1-0
Aug 20 Águila vs CD Olimpia 2-2
Aug 17 Águila vs Municipal… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Municipal Limeño struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Águila struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2025 Águila 2 - 1 Municipal Limeño Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Municipal Limeño Power 0
Águila Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Municipal Limeño Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Águila Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.