AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Aug 16, 2025

Hércules

Home
VS
23:00

Alianza

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Hércules Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Alianza Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.02 - 1.28
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hércules Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Alianza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 1-2 (8%) 0-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Hércules Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Hércules vs Zacatecol… 0-1
Aug 03 Hércules vs Municipal… 5-2
Jul 27 Hércules vs Águila 2-1
Jul 24 Hércules vs FAS 1-1
Jul 20 Hércules vs Fuerte Sa… 0-0
Alianza Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Alianza vs Burkina F… 1-0
Aug 10 Alianza vs Isidro Me… 0-2
Aug 03 Alianza vs Platense 1-1
Jul 27 Alianza vs Firpo 3-3
Jul 23 Alianza vs Cacahuati… 1-2
Jul 20 Alianza vs Inter 0-0
Jun 22 Alianza vs Frosinone 0-3
Jun 15 Alianza vs Frosinone 2-0
Jun 06 Alianza vs Central A… 2-1
May 13 Alianza vs Cittadella 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hércules Power 0
Alianza Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Hércules Position

-8

Position Gap

3

Alianza Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 73%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.