AI Match Insights

HNL Aug 17, 2025

HNK Hajduk Split

Home
VS
19:00

NK Slaven Belupo

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
HNK Hajduk Split Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
NK Slaven Belupo Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.14 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
HNK Hajduk Split Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
NK Slaven Belupo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (11%) 3-1 (4%) 0-0 (4%) 2-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
HNK Hajduk Split Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 14 HNK Hajdu… vs Dinamo Ti… 3-1
Aug 10 HNK Hajdu… vs HNK Gorica 2-0
Aug 07 HNK Hajdu… vs Dinamo Ti… 2-1
Aug 03 HNK Hajdu… vs Istra 1961 2-1
Jul 31 HNK Hajdu… vs Zira 2-1
Jul 23 HNK Hajdu… vs Zira 1-1
May 18 HNK Hajdu… vs HNK Rijeka 2-1
May 11 HNK Hajdu… vs HNK Rijeka 1-1
May 03 HNK Hajdu… vs Dinamo Za… 1-3
Apr 23 HNK Hajdu… vs Istra 1961 0-1
NK Slaven Belupo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 NK Slaven… vs NK Varažd… 3-1
Aug 03 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 2-0
May 29 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 1-0
May 25 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 2-0
May 18 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 4-0
May 14 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 1-1
May 10 NK Slaven… vs Dinamo Za… 5-0
Apr 28 NK Slaven… vs Istra 1961 1-1
Apr 22 NK Slaven… vs NK Varažd… 0-1
Apr 05 NK Slaven… vs HNK Hajdu… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • HNK Hajduk Split in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • NK Slaven Belupo struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 05, 2025 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 1 HNK Hajduk Split HNL
Jan 26, 2025 HNK Hajduk Split 0 - 0 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Oct 20, 2024 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 2 HNK Hajduk Split HNL
Aug 04, 2024 HNK Hajduk Split 2 - 1 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Apr 20, 2024 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 1 HNK Hajduk Split HNL
Feb 11, 2024 HNK Hajduk Split 4 - 0 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Oct 27, 2023 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 1 HNK Hajduk Split HNL
Aug 13, 2023 HNK Hajduk Split 3 - 0 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: HNK Hajduk Split to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
HNK Hajduk Split Power 0
NK Slaven Belupo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

HNK Hajduk Split Position

+4

Position Gap

6

NK Slaven Belupo Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.