AI Match Insights

Match Details Home

HNL Aug 17, 2025

NK Varaždin

Home

16:45

NK Osijek

Away

AI Predictions 48.0% Confidence

NK Varaždin Win

48.0%

Draw

24.4%

NK Osijek Win

27.6%

Home Win (48% confidence)

Predicted Score: 1-1

Decision Justification

Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)

POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)

Player Score 40%

Momentum 69%

Standings 67%

Market 50%

Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 48%

xG: 1.84 - 1.12

Key Insights

xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.1 Position gap: 5 places

High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized

Score Prediction Analysis

NK Varaždin Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

16%

1 goals:

29%

2 goals:

27%

3 goals:

17%

4 goals:

NK Osijek Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

33%

1 goals:

37%

2 goals:

21%

3 goals:

4 goals:

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)

BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Under 2.5 Goals 44%

NK Varaždin Form 6.0%

Date	Match	Result
Aug 10	NK Varažd… vs NK Slaven…	3-1
Aug 04	NK Varažd… vs HNK Gorica	1-1
Jul 31	NK Varažd… vs Santa Cla…	2-0
Jul 24	NK Varažd… vs Santa Cla…	2-1
May 25	NK Varažd… vs Dinamo Za…	1-0
May 17	NK Varažd… vs HNK Rijeka	2-1
May 11	NK Varažd… vs Istra 1961	0-0
Apr 26	NK Varažd… vs NK Lokomo…	2-1
Apr 22	NK Varažd… vs NK Slaven…	0-1
Apr 18	NK Varažd… vs HNK Hajdu…	1-1

NK Osijek Form 5.0%

Date	Match	Result
Aug 09	NK Osijek vs HNK Rijeka	0-0
Aug 02	NK Osijek vs Dinamo Za…	0-2

Key Analysis Factors

NK Varaždin struggling (3L in last 5) Home

Final Verdict

STANDARD: NK Varaždin to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier

Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence

Rules Passed

POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE

Key Factors

No key factors identified

NK Varaždin Power 0

NK Osijek Power 0

Home Form N/A

Away Form N/A

League Standings Context

4

NK Varaždin Position

+5

Position Gap

9

NK Osijek Position

Home Win Rate: 44%

Away Win Rate: 11%

Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.