AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Aug 16, 2025

HNK Rijeka

Home
VS
19:00

Dinamo Zagreb

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
HNK Rijeka Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Dinamo Zagreb Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.33 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
HNK Rijeka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Dinamo Zagreb Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
HNK Rijeka Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 HNK Rijeka vs Shelbourne 1-3
Aug 09 HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek 0-0
Aug 06 HNK Rijeka vs Shelbourne 1-2
Aug 03 HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven… 2-0
Jul 30 HNK Rijeka vs Ludogoret… 3-1
Jul 22 HNK Rijeka vs Ludogoret… 0-0
May 29 HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven… 1-0
May 25 HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven… 2-0
May 25 HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 1-1
May 18 HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven… 4-0
Dinamo Zagreb Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 08 Dinamo Za… vs Vukovar 3-0
Aug 02 Dinamo Za… vs NK Osijek 0-2
May 25 Dinamo Za… vs NK Varažd… 1-0
May 17 Dinamo Za… vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
May 10 Dinamo Za… vs NK Slaven… 5-0
May 03 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Hajdu… 1-3
Apr 27 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 1-0
Apr 12 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 2-0
Apr 05 Dinamo Za… vs Istra 1961 3-0
Mar 30 Dinamo Za… vs NK Varažd… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dinamo Zagreb in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2025 Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
Apr 12, 2025 Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
Feb 26, 2025 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 1 HNK Rijeka Cup
Feb 22, 2025 HNK Rijeka 4 - 0 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Feb 02, 2025 HNK Rijeka 2 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Nov 23, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
Oct 27, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 4 HNK Rijeka HNL
Sep 01, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Aug 11, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
May 22, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 3 Dinamo Zagreb Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
HNK Rijeka Power 0
Dinamo Zagreb Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

HNK Rijeka Position

-4

Position Gap

1

Dinamo Zagreb Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.