AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Aug 16, 2025

NK Lokomotiva

Home
VS
16:15

HNK Gorica

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
NK Lokomotiva Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
HNK Gorica Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.80 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NK Lokomotiva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
HNK Gorica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (36%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 92%
NK Lokomotiva Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 NK Lokomo… vs Istra 1961 2-2
Aug 01 NK Lokomo… vs Vukovar 1-0
May 24 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Gorica 0-3
May 17 NK Lokomo… vs Dinamo Za… 1-1
May 03 NK Lokomo… vs Istra 1961 0-0
Apr 26 NK Lokomo… vs NK Varažd… 2-1
Apr 13 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Hajdu… 1-1
Apr 06 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Rijeka 0-1
Mar 28 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Gorica 1-1
Mar 15 NK Lokomo… vs Dinamo Za… 3-0
HNK Gorica Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajdu… 2-0
Aug 04 HNK Gorica vs NK Varažd… 1-1
May 24 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 0-3
Mar 28 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
Jan 10 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 2-0
Dec 21 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 1-4
Oct 05 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 2-0
Jul 13 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 3-0
Apr 06 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 24, 2025 HNK Gorica 0 - 3 NK Lokomotiva HNL
Mar 28, 2025 NK Lokomotiva 1 - 1 HNK Gorica HNL
Jan 10, 2025 NK Lokomotiva 2 - 0 HNK Gorica Friendlies Clu…
Dec 21, 2024 HNK Gorica 1 - 4 NK Lokomotiva HNL
Oct 05, 2024 NK Lokomotiva 2 - 0 HNK Gorica HNL
Jul 13, 2024 HNK Gorica 3 - 0 NK Lokomotiva Friendlies Clu…
Apr 06, 2024 NK Lokomotiva 1 - 1 HNK Gorica HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NK Lokomotiva to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 92
NK Lokomotiva Power 0
HNK Gorica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

NK Lokomotiva Position

+1

Position Gap

8

HNK Gorica Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.