AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División Jul 20, 2025

Colón

Home
VS
20:30

Deportivo Maldonado

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Colón Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Deportivo Maldonado Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.78 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.0
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Colón Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Deportivo Maldonado Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Colón Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Colón vs Oriental 1-0
Jul 05 Colón vs Uruguay M… 5-1
Jun 29 Colón vs Albion FC 0-2
Jun 22 Colón vs Fenix 1-3
Jun 16 Colón vs Rampla Ju… 1-0
Jun 08 Colón vs Atenas 0-1
Jun 04 Colón vs Central E… 0-0
May 30 Colón vs Tacuarembó 2-0
May 24 Colón vs Rentistas… 1-2
May 17 Colón vs La Luz 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 12 Deportivo… vs Artigas 1-1
Jul 06 Deportivo… vs Oriental 3-0
Jun 28 Deportivo… vs Uruguay M… 1-3
Jun 22 Deportivo… vs Albion FC 0-1
Jun 15 Deportivo… vs Fenix 1-1
Jun 08 Deportivo… vs Rampla Ju… 1-0
Jun 04 Deportivo… vs Atenas 1-1
May 31 Deportivo… vs Central E… 0-0
May 25 Deportivo… vs Tacuarembó 1-0
May 19 Deportivo… vs Rentistas… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Colón struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2025 Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 0 Colón Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Colón to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Colón Power 0
Deportivo Maldonado Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.