AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División May 04, 2025

Tacuarembó

Home
VS
16:30

Atenas

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Tacuarembó Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Atenas Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.19 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tacuarembó Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Atenas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Tacuarembó Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Tacuarembó vs Colón 1-0
Apr 11 Tacuarembó vs Rampla Ju… 1-0
Apr 04 Tacuarembó vs Deportivo… 0-1
Mar 30 Tacuarembó vs La Luz 1-1
Mar 22 Tacuarembó vs Fenix 0-1
Mar 08 Tacuarembó vs Oriental 2-2
Nov 16 Tacuarembó vs Cerrito 3-1
Nov 10 Tacuarembó vs Juventud 1-2
Nov 01 Tacuarembó vs Atletico … 2-1
Oct 20 Tacuarembó vs Albion FC 1-0
Atenas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Atenas vs Artigas 0-3
Apr 12 Atenas vs Cerrito 2-1
Apr 05 Atenas vs Rentistas… 2-0
Mar 29 Atenas vs Albion FC 0-0
Mar 25 Atenas vs Central E… 0-1
Mar 10 Atenas vs Uruguay M… 1-0
Nov 16 Atenas vs Sud Améri… 0-1
Nov 09 Atenas vs Oriental 3-1
Nov 02 Atenas vs La Luz 1-1
Oct 20 Atenas vs Cerrito 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tacuarembó in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Atenas in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 08, 2024 Atenas 1 - 0 Tacuarembó Segunda Divisi…
May 26, 2024 Tacuarembó 2 - 0 Atenas Segunda Divisi…
Oct 15, 2023 Atenas 1 - 0 Tacuarembó Segunda Divisi…
May 28, 2023 Tacuarembó 1 - 1 Atenas Segunda Divisi…
Oct 16, 2020 Tacuarembó 0 - 0 Atenas Segunda Divisi…
Aug 13, 2020 Atenas 1 - 0 Tacuarembó Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tacuarembó to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tacuarembó Power 0
Atenas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.