AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
V.League 1 May 04, 2025

Thanh Hóa

Home
VS
11:00

Ho Chi Minh City

Away
AI Predictions 42.0% Confidence
Thanh Hóa Win
42.0%
Draw
25.6%
Ho Chi Minh City Win
32.4%
Home Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.92 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Thanh Hóa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Ho Chi Minh City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Thanh Hóa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 2-2
Jan 14 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 1-1
Oct 26 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-1
Aug 31 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 3-0
Jul 04 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 2-1
May 30 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-1
May 26 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 2-5
Mar 08 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 1-1
Mar 02 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-2
Jul 16 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 0-2
Ho Chi Minh City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 30 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 0-1
Oct 22 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 2-0
Jul 29 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 3-0
Feb 13 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Thanh Hóa Power 0
Ho Chi Minh City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Thanh Hóa Position

-6

Position Gap

6

Ho Chi Minh City Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.