AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
V.League 1 Feb 14, 2025

Ho Chi Minh City

Home
VS
12:15

Thanh Hóa

Away
AI Predictions 48.0% Confidence
Ho Chi Minh City Win
48.0%
Draw
24.4%
Thanh Hóa Win
27.6%
Home Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ho Chi Minh City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Thanh Hóa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Ho Chi Minh City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 30 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 0-1
Oct 22 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 2-0
Jul 29 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 3-0
Feb 13 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 0-2
Thanh Hóa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 1-1
Oct 26 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-1
Aug 31 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 3-0
Jul 04 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 2-1
May 30 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-1
May 26 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 2-5
Mar 08 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 1-1
Mar 02 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-2
Jul 16 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 0-2
Jun 24 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ho Chi Minh City to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ho Chi Minh City Power 0
Thanh Hóa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Ho Chi Minh City Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Thanh Hóa Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.