AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Esiliiga A Jun 28, 2025

Nõmme United

Home
VS
12:00

Elva

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Nõmme United Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Elva Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.21 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.1
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nõmme United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Elva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Nõmme United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 20 Nõmme Uni… vs Luunja 0-12
Jun 15 Nõmme Uni… vs Tallinna … 4-0
May 29 Nõmme Uni… vs Viimsi 1-0
May 25 Nõmme Uni… vs FCI Levad… 3-0
May 15 Nõmme Uni… vs Tartu Wel… 1-1
May 10 Nõmme Uni… vs FC Tallinn 4-0
May 04 Nõmme Uni… vs Luunja 6-2
Apr 27 Nõmme Uni… vs Tallinna … 1-3
Apr 17 Nõmme Uni… vs Elva 0-2
Apr 14 Nõmme Uni… vs Nõmme Kal… 3-2
Elva Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 19 Elva vs Viimsi 1-0
Jun 14 Elva vs Tartu Wel… 2-5
Jun 01 Elva vs FCI Levad… 2-2
May 29 Elva vs Flora II 0-1
May 22 Elva vs FC Tallinn 1-1
May 18 Elva vs Luunja 2-5
May 11 Elva vs Nõmme Kal… 2-1
May 03 Elva vs Flora II 2-2
Apr 24 Elva vs FC Tallinn 1-1
Apr 17 Elva vs Nõmme Uni… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nõmme United in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Elva in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 17, 2025 Elva 0 - 2 Nõmme United Esiliiga A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nõmme United to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nõmme United Power 0
Elva Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.