AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Esiliiga A Apr 17, 2025

Elva

Home
VS
16:00

Nõmme United

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Elva Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Nõmme United Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.25 - 1.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Elva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Nõmme United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Elva Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Elva vs FCI Levad… 3-2
Apr 06 Elva vs Tallinna … 0-1
Mar 27 Elva vs Luunja 4-3
Mar 15 Elva vs Tartu Wel… 3-1
Mar 08 Elva vs Nõmme Kal… 0-2
Mar 01 Elva vs Viimsi 3-3
Nõmme United Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 14 Nõmme Uni… vs Nõmme Kal… 3-2
Apr 06 Nõmme Uni… vs Tartu Wel… 0-1
Mar 30 Nõmme Uni… vs Flora II 0-2
Mar 13 Nõmme Uni… vs Viimsi 2-0
Mar 09 Nõmme Uni… vs FCI Levad… 1-2
Mar 01 Nõmme Uni… vs FC Tallinn 1-2
Nov 09 Nõmme Uni… vs Tammeka 1-2
Aug 11 Nõmme Uni… vs Tammeka 1-1
Jul 04 Nõmme Uni… vs Tammeka 2-1
Apr 05 Nõmme Uni… vs Tammeka 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Elva in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Nõmme United in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Elva to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Elva Power 0
Nõmme United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.