AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Apr 13, 2025

Ikorodu City

Home
VS
16:30

Niger Tornadoes

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Ikorodu City Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Niger Tornadoes Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.50 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Ikorodu City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Niger Tornadoes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Ikorodu City Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Ikorodu C… vs Shooting … 0-0
Feb 09 Ikorodu C… vs Kwara Uni… 2-1
Dec 22 Ikorodu C… vs Abia Warr… 2-0
Dec 15 Ikorodu C… vs Remo Stars 1-1
Nov 27 Ikorodu C… vs Abia Warr… 2-0
Nov 17 Ikorodu C… vs Shooting … 2-1
Sep 22 Ikorodu C… vs Kwara Uni… 0-0
Niger Tornadoes Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 0-1
Feb 16 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 3-0
Feb 02 Niger Tor… vs Nasarawa … 2-0
Nov 27 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 4-1
Oct 16 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 1-1
Sep 29 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 1-1
Sep 15 Niger Tor… vs Nasarawa … 0-0
Apr 03 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 1-3
Mar 17 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 3-1
Mar 09 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Niger Tornadoes struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ikorodu City to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ikorodu City Power 0
Niger Tornadoes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Ikorodu City Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Niger Tornadoes Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.