AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Apr 06, 2025

Plateau United

Home
VS
15:00

Kwara United

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Plateau United Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Kwara United Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 4.07 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Plateau United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Kwara United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Plateau United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 27 Plateau U… vs Enugu Ran… 0-1
Mar 09 Plateau U… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Mar 02 Plateau U… vs Remo Stars 1-0
Jan 30 Plateau U… vs Katsina U… 1-0
Nov 30 Plateau U… vs Bendel In… 2-1
Nov 10 Plateau U… vs Enugu Ran… 0-0
Oct 20 Plateau U… vs Abia Warr… 3-1
Oct 17 Plateau U… vs Remo Stars 3-1
Sep 08 Plateau U… vs Katsina U… 1-0
Apr 28 Plateau U… vs Enugu Ran… 2-0
Kwara United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Kwara Uni… vs Nasarawa … 1-0
Feb 09 Kwara Uni… vs Ikorodu C… 2-1
Dec 15 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 2-1
Nov 23 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 3-1
Nov 10 Kwara Uni… vs Nasarawa … 0-1
Sep 22 Kwara Uni… vs Ikorodu C… 0-0
May 09 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 0-0
Apr 07 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 1-1
Nov 18 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 2-2
Oct 15 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Plateau United struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Kwara United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Plateau United to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Plateau United Power 0
Kwara United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Plateau United Position

+3

Position Gap

18

Kwara United Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.