AI Match Insights
NPFL Mar 09, 2025
Plateau United
HomeVS
14:00
Abia Warriors
AwayAI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Plateau United Win
Draw
Abia Warriors Win
Home Win
(37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
Combined: 48%
Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.07 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Plateau United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Abia Warriors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%)
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (6%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
Plateau United Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 02 | Plateau U… vs Remo Stars | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Plateau U… vs Katsina U… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Plateau U… vs Bendel In… | 2-1 |
| Nov 10 | Plateau U… vs Enugu Ran… | 0-0 |
| Oct 20 | Plateau U… vs Abia Warr… | 3-1 |
| Oct 17 | Plateau U… vs Remo Stars | 3-1 |
| Sep 08 | Plateau U… vs Katsina U… | 1-0 |
| Apr 28 | Plateau U… vs Enugu Ran… | 2-0 |
| Apr 21 | Plateau U… vs Remo Stars | 1-0 |
| Apr 03 | Plateau U… vs Abia Warr… | 1-0 |
Abia Warriors Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 02 | Abia Warr… vs Nasarawa … | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Abia Warr… vs Bendel In… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Abia Warr… vs Kano Pill… | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | Abia Warr… vs Ikorodu C… | 2-0 |
| Dec 08 | Abia Warr… vs Remo Stars | 2-0 |
| Dec 01 | Abia Warr… vs Bayelsa U… | 0-0 |
| Nov 27 | Abia Warr… vs Katsina U… | 2-0 |
| Nov 27 | Abia Warr… vs Ikorodu C… | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Abia Warr… vs Rivers Un… | 1-0 |
| Nov 17 | Abia Warr… vs Enyimba | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Plateau United struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Abia Warriors | 3 - 1 | Plateau United | NPFL |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Abia Warriors | 1 - 0 | Plateau United | NPFL |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Plateau United | 3 - 1 | Abia Warriors | NPFL |
| May 21, 2022 | Abia Warriors | 2 - 0 | Plateau United | NPFL |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Plateau United | 1 - 0 | Abia Warriors | NPFL |
| May 09, 2021 | Plateau United | 2 - 1 | Abia Warriors | NPFL |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Abia Warriors | 2 - 1 | Plateau United | NPFL |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Plateau United Power
0
Abia Warriors Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
15
Plateau United Position-11
Position Gap4
Abia Warriors Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.