AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Mar 08, 2025

Rivers United FC

Home
VS
14:00

Niger Tornadoes

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Rivers United FC Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Niger Tornadoes Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.50 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Rivers United FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Niger Tornadoes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Rivers United FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Rivers Un… vs Shooting … 0-0
Feb 28 Rivers Un… vs Katsina U… 1-0
Jan 30 Rivers Un… vs Bendel In… 2-2
Jan 25 Rivers Un… vs SJK Seina… 1-1
Dec 15 Rivers Un… vs Kwara Uni… 2-1
Dec 08 Rivers Un… vs Enugu Ran… 1-0
Nov 24 Rivers Un… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Nov 17 Rivers Un… vs Remo Stars 0-0
Oct 27 Rivers Un… vs Abia Warr… 1-1
Oct 19 Rivers Un… vs SJK Seina… 4-0
Niger Tornadoes Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 0-1
Feb 16 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 3-0
Feb 02 Niger Tor… vs Nasarawa … 2-0
Nov 27 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 4-1
Oct 16 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 1-1
Sep 29 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 1-1
Sep 15 Niger Tor… vs Nasarawa … 0-0
Apr 03 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 1-3
Mar 17 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 3-1
Mar 09 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Niger Tornadoes struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rivers United FC to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rivers United FC Power 0
Niger Tornadoes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Rivers United FC Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Niger Tornadoes Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.