AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Mar 02, 2025

Bayelsa United

Home
VS
15:00

Bendel Insurance

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Bayelsa United Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Bendel Insurance Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.62 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayelsa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Bendel Insurance Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Bayelsa United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Bayelsa U… vs Kano Pill… 0-0
Dec 01 Bayelsa U… vs Abia Warr… 0-0
Nov 27 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 4-1
Nov 24 Bayelsa U… vs Shooting … 1-0
Nov 03 Bayelsa U… vs Enyimba 1-1
Sep 15 Bayelsa U… vs Kano Pill… 1-1
Jun 16 Bayelsa U… vs Shooting … 2-1
Jun 12 Bayelsa U… vs Enyimba 1-1
Mar 17 Bayelsa U… vs Kano Pill… 2-1
Mar 09 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 0-1
Bendel Insurance Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 Bendel In… vs Abia Warr… 0-0
Feb 16 Bendel In… vs Niger Tor… 3-0
Feb 08 Bendel In… vs Shooting … 1-0
Jan 30 Bendel In… vs Rivers Un… 2-2
Nov 30 Bendel In… vs Plateau U… 2-1
Nov 23 Bendel In… vs Kwara Uni… 3-1
Oct 26 Bendel In… vs Abia Warr… 0-1
Oct 05 Bendel In… vs Abia Warr… 1-1
Oct 02 Bendel In… vs Shooting … 1-0
Sep 29 Bendel In… vs Niger Tor… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bayelsa United Power 0
Bendel Insurance Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bayelsa United Position

-2

Position Gap

8

Bendel Insurance Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.