AI Match Insights

NPFL Nov 23, 2024

Niger Tornadoes

Home
VS
15:00

Ikorodu City

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Niger Tornadoes Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Ikorodu City Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.46 - 0.49
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Niger Tornadoes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Ikorodu City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (39%) 0-1 (19%) 1-0 (18%) 1-1 (9%) 0-2 (5%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 93%
Niger Tornadoes Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 1-1
Sep 29 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 1-1
Sep 15 Niger Tor… vs Nasarawa … 0-0
Apr 03 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 1-3
Mar 17 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 3-1
Mar 09 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 0-1
Nov 12 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 0-0
Nov 01 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 0-0
Oct 21 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 1-0
May 21 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 2-0
Ikorodu City Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 17 Ikorodu C… vs Shooting … 2-1
Sep 22 Ikorodu C… vs Kwara Uni… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Niger Tornadoes Power 0
Ikorodu City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Niger Tornadoes Position

-6

Position Gap

1

Ikorodu City Position

Home Win Rate: 82%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.