AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Nov 17, 2024

Kwara United

Home
VS
15:00

Plateau United

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Kwara United Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Plateau United Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.60 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kwara United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Plateau United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Kwara United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Kwara Uni… vs Nasarawa … 0-1
Sep 22 Kwara Uni… vs Ikorodu C… 0-0
May 09 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 0-0
Apr 07 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 1-1
Nov 18 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 2-2
Oct 15 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 0-0
Apr 08 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 1-1
Jan 22 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 0-1
May 01 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 2-1
Jan 16 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 3-0
Plateau United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Plateau U… vs Enugu Ran… 0-0
Oct 20 Plateau U… vs Abia Warr… 3-1
Oct 17 Plateau U… vs Remo Stars 3-1
Sep 08 Plateau U… vs Katsina U… 1-0
Apr 28 Plateau U… vs Enugu Ran… 2-0
Apr 21 Plateau U… vs Remo Stars 1-0
Apr 03 Plateau U… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Mar 17 Plateau U… vs Katsina U… 2-1
Mar 03 Plateau U… vs Bendel In… 2-0
Dec 06 Plateau U… vs Enugu Ran… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kwara United Power 0
Plateau United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Kwara United Position

-3

Position Gap

15

Plateau United Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.