AI Match Insights

NPFL Oct 21, 2024

Niger Tornadoes

Home
VS
15:00

Rivers United FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Niger Tornadoes Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Rivers United FC Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.43 - 0.20
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Niger Tornadoes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Rivers United FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (53%) 1-0 (23%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (5%) 1-1 (5%) 0-2 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 6%
Over 2.5 Goals 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 97%
Niger Tornadoes Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 1-1
Sep 29 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 1-1
Sep 15 Niger Tor… vs Nasarawa … 0-0
Apr 03 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 1-3
Mar 17 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 3-1
Mar 09 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 0-1
Nov 12 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 0-0
Nov 01 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 0-0
Oct 21 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 1-0
May 21 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 2-0
Rivers United FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Rivers Un… vs SJK Seina… 4-0
Oct 17 Rivers Un… vs Shooting … 2-0
Oct 13 Rivers Un… vs Katsina U… 0-0
Sep 08 Rivers Un… vs Bendel In… 0-0
Jun 19 Rivers Un… vs SJK Seina… 2-2
Jun 15 Rivers Un… vs SJK Seina… 2-4
Jun 12 Rivers Un… vs Bendel In… 2-1
Jun 12 Rivers Un… vs Inter Tur… 0-2
Jun 09 Rivers Un… vs Shooting … 1-0
May 22 Rivers Un… vs Inter Tur… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Niger Tornadoes Power 0
Rivers United FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Niger Tornadoes Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Rivers United FC Position

Home Win Rate: 82%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.