AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Oct 17, 2024

Bendel Insurance

Home
VS
14:00

Bayelsa United

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bendel Insurance Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Bayelsa United Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.17 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bendel Insurance Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Bayelsa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Bendel Insurance Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Bendel In… vs Abia Warr… 1-1
Oct 02 Bendel In… vs Shooting … 1-0
Sep 29 Bendel In… vs Niger Tor… 1-1
Sep 08 Bendel In… vs Rivers Un… 0-0
Jun 12 Bendel In… vs Rivers Un… 2-1
Jun 09 Bendel In… vs Abia Warr… 0-0
Apr 07 Bendel In… vs Kwara Uni… 1-1
Apr 03 Bendel In… vs Niger Tor… 1-3
Mar 03 Bendel In… vs Plateau U… 2-0
Feb 29 Bendel In… vs Shooting … 1-0
Bayelsa United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Bayelsa U… vs Kano Pill… 1-1
Jun 16 Bayelsa U… vs Shooting … 2-1
Jun 12 Bayelsa U… vs Enyimba 1-1
Mar 17 Bayelsa U… vs Kano Pill… 2-1
Mar 09 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 0-1
Jan 07 Bayelsa U… vs Shooting … 1-0
Dec 28 Bayelsa U… vs Enyimba 1-2
Oct 21 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 1-0
May 21 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 2-0
Feb 15 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bendel Insurance Power 0
Bayelsa United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Bendel Insurance Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Bayelsa United Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.