AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Sep 25, 2025

Diriangén

Home
VS
02:00

Real Estelí

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Diriangén Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Real Estelí Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 4.50 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Diriangén Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Diriangén Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Diriangén vs Rancho Sa… 1-8
Sep 18 Diriangén vs Real Madr… 7-0
Sep 14 Diriangén vs Managua FC 2-0
Aug 28 Diriangén vs Walter Fe… 1-1
Aug 23 Diriangén vs H&H Export 2-1
Aug 21 Diriangén vs Real Espa… 1-0
Aug 14 Diriangén vs Sporting … 2-1
Aug 09 Diriangén vs Matagalpa 0-2
Aug 07 Diriangén vs CS Heredi… 4-2
Aug 01 Diriangén vs Municipal 1-1
Real Estelí Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 1-3
Sep 17 Real Este… vs H&H Export 3-1
Sep 14 Real Este… vs Matagalpa 2-1
Aug 28 Real Este… vs Águila 2-0
Aug 25 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 0-0
Aug 22 Real Este… vs Hércules 3-0
Aug 15 Real Este… vs Xelajú 4-1
Aug 11 Real Este… vs Managua FC 1-0
Aug 05 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 0-1
Jul 31 Real Este… vs CD Olimpia 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Estelí in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Diriangén to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Diriangén Power 0
Real Estelí Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Diriangén Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Real Estelí Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.