AI Match Insights
Primera Division Aug 16, 2025
Real Madriz
HomeVS
23:00
UNAN Managua
AwayAI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Real Madriz Win
Draw
UNAN Managua Win
Home Win
(47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 45%
Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.34 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Madriz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
UNAN Managua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (15%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
Under 2.5 Goals
70%
Real Madriz Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10 | Real Madr… vs H&H Export | 3-0 |
| Aug 03 | Real Madr… vs Managua FC | 0-1 |
| Jul 26 | Real Madr… vs Matagalpa | 1-2 |
| Jul 24 | Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… | 2-0 |
| Jul 18 | Real Madr… vs Real Este… | 2-1 |
| Apr 28 | Real Madr… vs Managua FC | 3-0 |
| Mar 20 | Real Madr… vs Real Este… | 4-0 |
| Mar 14 | Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Real Madr… vs Managua FC | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Real Madr… vs Real Este… | 0-0 |
UNAN Managua Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 09 | UNAN Mana… vs Jalapa | 5-1 |
| Aug 02 | UNAN Mana… vs Matagalpa | 2-2 |
| Jul 27 | UNAN Mana… vs Diriangén | 1-4 |
| Jul 23 | UNAN Mana… vs Real Este… | 1-1 |
| Jul 18 | UNAN Mana… vs Walter Fe… | 3-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Real Madriz struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Real Madriz to win (60% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 89
Real Madriz Power
0
UNAN Managua Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
10
Real Madriz Position-1
Position Gap9
UNAN Managua Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.