AI Match Insights

Primera Division Aug 16, 2025

Real Madriz

Home
VS
23:00

UNAN Managua

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Real Madriz Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
UNAN Managua Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.34 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Madriz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
UNAN Managua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Real Madriz Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Real Madr… vs H&H Export 3-0
Aug 03 Real Madr… vs Managua FC 0-1
Jul 26 Real Madr… vs Matagalpa 1-2
Jul 24 Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… 2-0
Jul 18 Real Madr… vs Real Este… 2-1
Apr 28 Real Madr… vs Managua FC 3-0
Mar 20 Real Madr… vs Real Este… 4-0
Mar 14 Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… 0-2
Mar 07 Real Madr… vs Managua FC 1-0
Feb 06 Real Madr… vs Real Este… 0-0
UNAN Managua Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 UNAN Mana… vs Jalapa 5-1
Aug 02 UNAN Mana… vs Matagalpa 2-2
Jul 27 UNAN Mana… vs Diriangén 1-4
Jul 23 UNAN Mana… vs Real Este… 1-1
Jul 18 UNAN Mana… vs Walter Fe… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Madriz struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Madriz to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 89
Real Madriz Power 0
UNAN Managua Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Real Madriz Position

-1

Position Gap

9

UNAN Managua Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.