AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Aug 16, 2025

Jalapa

Home
VS
21:00

Matagalpa

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Jalapa Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Matagalpa Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 1.90 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.8
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jalapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Matagalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Jalapa Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Jalapa vs UNAN Mana… 5-1
Aug 02 Jalapa vs H&H Export 1-0
Jul 27 Jalapa vs Real Este… 4-2
Jul 23 Jalapa vs Diriangén 2-3
Jul 17 Jalapa vs Managua FC 4-2
Apr 15 Jalapa vs H&H Export 0-0
Apr 12 Jalapa vs Diriangén 2-2
Apr 06 Jalapa vs Managua FC 3-1
Mar 29 Jalapa vs Real Este… 1-2
Mar 09 Jalapa vs Rancho Sa… 2-0
Matagalpa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Matagalpa vs Diriangén 0-2
Aug 02 Matagalpa vs UNAN Mana… 2-2
Jul 26 Matagalpa vs Real Madr… 1-2
Jul 22 Matagalpa vs Rancho Sa… 1-2
Jul 17 Matagalpa vs H&H Export 3-2
May 05 Matagalpa vs Diriangén 2-0
Apr 27 Matagalpa vs Managua FC 1-1
Apr 08 Matagalpa vs Walter Fe… 0-0
Mar 30 Matagalpa vs H&H Export 5-2
Mar 23 Matagalpa vs Rancho Sa… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jalapa struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jalapa Power 0
Matagalpa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Jalapa Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Matagalpa Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.