AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Aug 09, 2025

Matagalpa

Home
VS
21:00

Diriangén

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Matagalpa Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Diriangén Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.93 - 2.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 2.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Matagalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Diriangén Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Matagalpa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 02 Matagalpa vs UNAN Mana… 2-2
Jul 26 Matagalpa vs Real Madr… 1-2
Jul 22 Matagalpa vs Rancho Sa… 1-2
Jul 17 Matagalpa vs H&H Export 3-2
Apr 27 Matagalpa vs Managua FC 1-1
Apr 08 Matagalpa vs Walter Fe… 0-0
Mar 30 Matagalpa vs H&H Export 5-2
Mar 23 Matagalpa vs Rancho Sa… 1-1
Feb 26 Matagalpa vs Rancho Sa… 2-1
Feb 19 Matagalpa vs Managua FC 2-2
Diriangén Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 07 Diriangén vs CS Heredi… 4-2
Aug 01 Diriangén vs Municipal 1-1
Jul 27 Diriangén vs UNAN Mana… 1-4
Jul 23 Diriangén vs Jalapa 2-3
Jul 19 Diriangén vs Rancho Sa… 6-0
Jul 13 Diriangén vs Managua FC 3-0
Jul 09 Diriangén vs Managua FC 1-0
Apr 28 Diriangén vs Rancho Sa… 3-0
Apr 17 Diriangén vs Walter Fe… 1-0
Apr 12 Diriangén vs Jalapa 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Diriangén in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Matagalpa Power 0
Diriangén Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Matagalpa Position

-4

Position Gap

1

Diriangén Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.