AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Oct 15, 2025

Municipal Liberia

Home
VS
02:00

Puntarenas FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Municipal Liberia Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Puntarenas FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.46 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Municipal Liberia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Puntarenas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Municipal Liberia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Municipal… vs ADR Jicar… 0-1
Sep 30 Municipal… vs Perez Zel… 1-1
Sep 25 Municipal… vs ADR Jicar… 0-0
Sep 22 Municipal… vs Inter San… 1-0
Sep 17 Municipal… vs Guadalupe… 2-2
Sep 14 Municipal… vs LD Alajue… 2-0
Sep 07 Municipal… vs Sporting … 2-1
Sep 01 Municipal… vs CS Heredi… 1-0
Aug 23 Municipal… vs Puntarena… 0-3
Aug 21 Municipal… vs ADR Cóbano 6-3
Puntarenas FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Puntarena… vs Perez Zel… 1-1
Sep 27 Puntarena… vs LD Alajue… 2-2
Sep 25 Puntarena… vs Perez Zel… 1-0
Sep 20 Puntarena… vs CS Heredi… 1-0
Sep 18 Puntarena… vs Sporting … 1-1
Sep 14 Puntarena… vs Perez Zel… 1-1
Sep 11 Puntarena… vs Deportivo… 3-1
Aug 31 Puntarena… vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Aug 23 Puntarena… vs Municipal… 0-3
Aug 20 Puntarena… vs Escorpion… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 23, 2025 Puntarenas FC 0 - 3 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Apr 06, 2025 Municipal Liberia 1 - 1 Puntarenas FC Primera Divisi…
Feb 22, 2025 Puntarenas FC 2 - 0 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Oct 19, 2024 Municipal Liberia 4 - 2 Puntarenas FC Primera Divisi…
Jul 20, 2024 Puntarenas FC 0 - 0 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Mar 31, 2024 Puntarenas FC 1 - 2 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Jan 26, 2024 Municipal Liberia 2 - 1 Puntarenas FC Primera Divisi…
Nov 12, 2023 Municipal Liberia 0 - 0 Puntarenas FC Primera Divisi…
Sep 14, 2023 Puntarenas FC 1 - 0 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Municipal Liberia Power 0
Puntarenas FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Municipal Liberia Position

+3

Position Gap

10

Puntarenas FC Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.