AI Match Insights

Primera División Oct 17, 2025

CS Herediano

Home
VS
02:00

LD Alajuelense

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
CS Herediano Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
LD Alajuelense Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.10 - 1.11
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CS Herediano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
LD Alajuelense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 1-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
CS Herediano Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 CS Heredi… vs Guadalupe… 0-2
Sep 20 CS Heredi… vs Puntarena… 1-0
Sep 18 CS Heredi… vs Deportivo… 3-3
Sep 13 CS Heredi… vs Sporting … 0-0
Sep 11 CS Heredi… vs CS Cartag… 2-0
Sep 01 CS Heredi… vs Municipal… 1-0
Aug 29 CS Heredi… vs Municipal 4-4
Aug 25 CS Heredi… vs Inter San… 2-2
Aug 22 CS Heredi… vs Sporting … 2-0
Aug 17 CS Heredi… vs Perez Zel… 2-1
LD Alajuelense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 LD Alajue… vs CD Motagua 1-2
Sep 27 LD Alajue… vs Puntarena… 2-2
Sep 24 LD Alajue… vs CD Motagua 0-1
Sep 21 LD Alajue… vs Guadalupe… 0-0
Sep 17 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 2-0
Sep 14 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 2-0
Sep 07 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 2-1
Aug 31 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Aug 28 LD Alajue… vs Antigua G… 1-0
Aug 22 LD Alajue… vs Atalanta 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • CS Herediano struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 10, 2025 LD Alajuelense 0 - 1 CS Herediano Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CS Herediano to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CS Herediano Power 0
LD Alajuelense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

CS Herediano Position

+3

Position Gap

4

LD Alajuelense Position

Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.