AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Aug 10, 2025

LD Alajuelense

Home
VS
23:00

CS Herediano

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
LD Alajuelense Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
CS Herediano Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.46 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
LD Alajuelense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
CS Herediano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (14%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
LD Alajuelense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 08 LD Alajue… vs Managua FC 1-2
Aug 04 LD Alajue… vs Guadalupe… 1-0
Aug 01 LD Alajue… vs Plaza Ama… 1-2
Jul 28 LD Alajue… vs Sporting … 1-2
May 22 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 1-0
May 18 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 3-3
May 08 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 2-0
Apr 22 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Apr 01 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 1-2
Mar 28 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 0-0
CS Herediano Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 07 CS Heredi… vs Diriangén 4-2
Aug 03 CS Heredi… vs Puntarena… 2-3
Jul 31 CS Heredi… vs Real Espa… 4-2
Jul 25 CS Heredi… vs Guadalupe… 0-0
May 15 CS Heredi… vs Deportivo… 2-0
May 11 CS Heredi… vs Deportivo… 4-0
May 04 CS Heredi… vs Puntarena… 1-1
Apr 12 CS Heredi… vs Municipal… 0-1
Mar 30 CS Heredi… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Mar 27 CS Heredi… vs Perez Zel… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • LD Alajuelense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
LD Alajuelense Power 0
CS Herediano Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

LD Alajuelense Position

-3

Position Gap

1

CS Herediano Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.