AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĂłn Jul 28, 2025

LD Alajuelense

Home
VS
00:00

Sporting San Jose

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
LD Alajuelense Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Sporting San Jose Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.97 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
LD Alajuelense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Sporting San Jose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
LD Alajuelense Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 22 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 1-0
May 18 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 3-3
May 08 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 2-0
Apr 22 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Apr 01 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 1-2
Mar 28 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 0-0
Mar 16 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 1-1
Feb 09 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Feb 03 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 1-0
Jan 30 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 0-0
Sporting San Jose Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 27 Sporting … vs Vancouver… 3-0
Jul 20 Sporting … vs New York … 1-1
Jul 13 Sporting … vs Seattle S… 2-3
Jul 05 Sporting … vs Colorado … 1-2
Jun 29 Sporting … vs Real Salt… 1-1
Jun 26 Sporting … vs Charlotte 2-1
Jun 15 Sporting … vs FC Dallas 2-4
Jun 09 Sporting … vs Los Angel… 3-1
Jun 01 Sporting … vs Houston D… 1-3
May 08 Sporting … vs CS Cartag… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • LD Alajuelense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
LD Alajuelense Power 0
Sporting San Jose Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

LD Alajuelense Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Sporting San Jose Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.