AI Match Insights

Frauen Bundesliga Sep 23, 2025

Bayern Munich Women

Home
VS
16:00

SC Freiburg Women

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Bayern Munich Women Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
SC Freiburg Women Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.63 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayern Munich Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
SC Freiburg Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Bayern Munich Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Bayern Mu… vs Carl Zeis… 0-0
Sep 14 Bayern Mu… vs RB Leipzi… 0-3
Sep 06 Bayern Mu… vs Bayer Lev… 2-0
Aug 30 Bayern Mu… vs VfL Wolfs… 4-2
May 11 Bayern Mu… vs SGS Essen… 3-0
May 05 Bayern Mu… vs Carl Zeis… 0-1
Apr 27 Bayern Mu… vs SC Freibu… 3-1
Apr 12 Bayern Mu… vs Eintracht… 0-3
Mar 30 Bayern Mu… vs Bayer Lev… 2-0
Mar 14 Bayern Mu… vs VfL Wolfs… 3-1
SC Freiburg Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 SC Freibu… vs Hamburger… 6-2
Sep 12 SC Freibu… vs FC Köln W… 1-0
Sep 07 SC Freibu… vs Werder Br… 1-1
May 11 SC Freibu… vs Werder Br… 3-2
May 02 SC Freibu… vs SGS Essen… 0-0
Apr 27 SC Freibu… vs Bayern Mu… 3-1
Apr 13 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-1
Mar 30 SC Freibu… vs RB Leipzi… 1-1
Mar 17 SC Freibu… vs Eintracht… 3-2
Mar 08 SC Freibu… vs Turbine P… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayern Munich Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • SC Freiburg Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2025 Bayern Munich Women 3 - 1 SC Freiburg Women Frauen Bundesl…
Nov 24, 2024 SC Freiburg Women 1 - 2 Bayern Munich Women DFB Pokal - Wo…
Nov 08, 2024 SC Freiburg Women 2 - 2 Bayern Munich Women Frauen Bundesl…
Feb 05, 2024 Bayern Munich Women 4 - 0 SC Freiburg Women Frauen Bundesl…
Sep 15, 2023 SC Freiburg Women 2 - 2 Bayern Munich Women Frauen Bundesl…
Apr 22, 2023 Bayern Munich Women 8 - 2 SC Freiburg Women Frauen Bundesl…
Nov 05, 2022 SC Freiburg Women 0 - 3 Bayern Munich Women Frauen Bundesl…
Feb 12, 2022 SC Freiburg Women 0 - 3 Bayern Munich Women Frauen Bundesl…
Sep 11, 2021 Bayern Munich Women 4 - 0 SC Freiburg Women Frauen Bundesl…
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bayern Munich Women to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 67 vs 40
Bayern Munich Women Power 67
SC Freiburg Women Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Bayern Munich Women Position

+5

Position Gap

6

SC Freiburg Women Position

Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.