AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Jul 12, 2025

Sligo Rovers

Home
VS
18:45

Derry City

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Sligo Rovers Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Derry City Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.64 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sligo Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Derry City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Sligo Rovers Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 05 Sligo Rov… vs Shamrock … 2-2
Jun 27 Sligo Rov… vs Bohemians… 1-1
Jun 23 Sligo Rov… vs Galaxy 2-1
Jun 20 Sligo Rov… vs Drogheda … 1-0
Jun 14 Sligo Rov… vs Waterford 1-0
May 30 Sligo Rov… vs St Patric… 0-1
May 23 Sligo Rov… vs Shelbourne 3-2
May 16 Sligo Rov… vs Galaxy 0-1
May 10 Sligo Rov… vs Bohemians… 0-1
May 05 Sligo Rov… vs Shamrock … 2-0
Derry City Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 04 Derry City vs Waterford 7-2
Jul 04 Derry City vs Dundalk 0-4
Jun 27 Derry City vs Drogheda … 3-0
Jun 27 Derry City vs Waterford 4-3
Jun 23 Derry City vs St Patric… 0-1
Jun 23 Derry City vs Cobh Ramb… 1-0
Jun 20 Derry City vs Shelbourne 0-1
Jun 20 Derry City vs Bray Wand… 2-1
Jun 13 Derry City vs Galaxy 1-1
Jun 13 Derry City vs Athlone T… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Derry City in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 22, 2025 Derry City 3 - 0 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Mar 15, 2025 Sligo Rovers 0 - 1 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Jan 21, 2025 Sligo Rovers 2 - 3 Derry City Friendlies Clu…
Oct 14, 2024 Derry City 1 - 1 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Jul 04, 2024 Sligo Rovers 2 - 1 Derry City Premier Divisi…
May 24, 2024 Derry City 2 - 2 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Feb 24, 2024 Sligo Rovers 0 - 0 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sligo Rovers to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sligo Rovers Power 0
Derry City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.