AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Jul 04, 2025

Drogheda United

Home
VS
18:45

Galway United

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Drogheda United Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Galway United Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.17 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Drogheda United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Galway United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Drogheda United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 27 Drogheda … vs Derry City 3-0
Jun 23 Drogheda … vs Cork City 1-1
Jun 20 Drogheda … vs Sligo Rov… 1-0
Jun 16 Drogheda … vs Shamrock … 1-2
Jun 13 Drogheda … vs St Patric… 0-0
May 30 Drogheda … vs Waterford 2-2
May 23 Drogheda … vs Bohemians… 1-0
May 19 Drogheda … vs Shelbourne 0-0
May 16 Drogheda … vs Derry City 1-1
May 09 Drogheda … vs Shamrock … 3-0
Galway United Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 25 Galway Un… vs Drogheda … 2-1
Feb 28 Galway Un… vs Drogheda … 1-1
Sep 23 Galway Un… vs Drogheda … 0-0
Jun 13 Galway Un… vs Drogheda … 3-0
May 17 Galway Un… vs Drogheda … 2-3
Mar 08 Galway Un… vs Drogheda … 0-0
Oct 20 Galway Un… vs Drogheda … 1-3
Aug 17 Galway Un… vs Drogheda … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Galway United in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 25, 2025 Galway United 2 - 1 Drogheda United Premier Divisi…
Feb 28, 2025 Drogheda United 1 - 1 Galway United Premier Divisi…
Sep 23, 2024 Drogheda United 0 - 0 Galway United Premier Divisi…
Jun 13, 2024 Galway United 3 - 0 Drogheda United Premier Divisi…
May 17, 2024 Drogheda United 2 - 3 Galway United Premier Divisi…
Mar 08, 2024 Galway United 0 - 0 Drogheda United Premier Divisi…
Oct 20, 2020 Galway United 1 - 3 Drogheda United First Division
Aug 17, 2020 Drogheda United 1 - 0 Galway United First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Drogheda United to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Drogheda United Power 0
Galway United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.