AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Jun 23, 2025

Waterford

Home
VS
18:45

Shelbourne

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Waterford Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Shelbourne Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.66 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.7
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Waterford Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Shelbourne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Waterford Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 20 Waterford vs Bohemians… 2-1
Jun 20 Waterford vs Longford … 0-1
Jun 14 Waterford vs Sligo Rov… 1-0
Jun 13 Waterford vs Finn Harps 1-1
May 30 Waterford vs Drogheda … 2-2
May 30 Waterford vs Dundalk 2-3
May 23 Waterford vs St Patric… 2-2
May 23 Waterford vs Bray Wand… 1-2
May 16 Waterford vs Shamrock … 1-3
May 16 Waterford vs Derry City 1-1
Shelbourne Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 20 Shelbourne vs Derry City 0-1
Jun 16 Shelbourne vs St Patric… 0-1
Jun 13 Shelbourne vs Shamrock … 1-2
May 30 Shelbourne vs Cork City 1-1
May 23 Shelbourne vs Sligo Rov… 3-2
May 19 Shelbourne vs Drogheda … 0-0
May 16 Shelbourne vs Bohemians… 1-0
May 09 Shelbourne vs St Patric… 2-1
May 05 Shelbourne vs Waterford 0-1
May 02 Shelbourne vs Derry City 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 05, 2025 Shelbourne 0 - 1 Waterford Premier Divisi…
Feb 21, 2025 Waterford 0 - 1 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
Jan 18, 2025 Shelbourne 4 - 1 Waterford Friendlies Clu…
Oct 18, 2024 Shelbourne 3 - 1 Waterford Premier Divisi…
Jun 13, 2024 Waterford 0 - 1 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
May 17, 2024 Shelbourne 1 - 0 Waterford Premier Divisi…
Feb 16, 2024 Waterford 1 - 1 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
Oct 16, 2022 Waterford 0 - 1 Shelbourne FAI Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Waterford to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Waterford Power 0
Shelbourne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.