AI Match Insights

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Premier Division May 05, 2025

Shelbourne

Home
VS
16:00

Waterford

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Shelbourne Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Waterford Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.88 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shelbourne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Waterford Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Shelbourne Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 02 Shelbourne vs Derry City 2-0
Apr 25 Shelbourne vs Shamrock … 2-2
Apr 21 Shelbourne vs Galaxy 2-2
Apr 18 Shelbourne vs Drogheda … 2-2
Apr 11 Shelbourne vs Bohemians… 1-0
Apr 04 Shelbourne vs St Patric… 0-0
Mar 28 Shelbourne vs Sligo Rov… 1-2
Mar 14 Shelbourne vs Cork City 1-1
Mar 07 Shelbourne vs Drogheda … 0-1
Mar 03 Shelbourne vs Galaxy 1-1
Waterford Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Waterford vs Longford … 2-1
May 02 Waterford vs Bohemians… 1-2
Apr 25 Waterford vs Derry City 2-1
Apr 25 Waterford vs UCD 0-1
Apr 21 Waterford vs Cork City 2-1
Apr 21 Waterford vs Treaty Un… 2-0
Apr 18 Waterford vs Sligo Rov… 0-4
Apr 18 Waterford vs Athlone T… 1-1
Apr 11 Waterford vs Shamrock … 2-0
Apr 11 Waterford vs Finn Harps 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Waterford struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 21, 2025 Waterford 0 - 1 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
Jan 18, 2025 Shelbourne 4 - 1 Waterford Friendlies Clu…
Oct 18, 2024 Shelbourne 3 - 1 Waterford Premier Divisi…
Jun 13, 2024 Waterford 0 - 1 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
May 17, 2024 Shelbourne 1 - 0 Waterford Premier Divisi…
Feb 16, 2024 Waterford 1 - 1 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
Oct 16, 2022 Waterford 0 - 1 Shelbourne FAI Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Shelbourne to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shelbourne Power 0
Waterford Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.