AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga I Sep 28, 2025

FCSB

Home
VS
17:30

Oţelul

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
FCSB Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Oţelul Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.61 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FCSB Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Oţelul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
FCSB Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 FCSB vs GO Ahead … 0-1
Sep 19 FCSB vs FC Botosa… 3-1
Sep 14 FCSB vs Csikszere… 1-1
Aug 31 FCSB vs CFR 1907 … 2-2
Aug 28 FCSB vs Aberdeen 3-0
Aug 24 FCSB vs Argeș Pit… 0-2
Aug 21 FCSB vs Aberdeen 2-2
Aug 17 FCSB vs Rapid 2-2
Aug 14 FCSB vs Drita 1-3
Aug 10 FCSB vs Unirea Sl… 0-1
Oţelul Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Oţelul vs Universit… 1-0
Sep 14 Oţelul vs FC Botosa… 0-1
Sep 01 Oţelul vs Csikszere… 1-1
Aug 24 Oţelul vs CFR 1907 … 4-1
Aug 18 Oţelul vs Argeș Pit… 2-0
Aug 11 Oţelul vs Rapid 1-1
Aug 04 Oţelul vs Unirea Sl… 0-0
Jul 27 Oţelul vs Dinamo Bu… 2-1
Jul 20 Oţelul vs Farul Con… 3-2
Jul 13 Oţelul vs Petrolul … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FCSB Power 0
Oţelul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

FCSB Position

-1

Position Gap

9

Oţelul Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.