AI Match Insights

Liga I Sep 26, 2025

AFC Hermannstadt

Home
VS
15:00

Argeș Pitești

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
AFC Hermannstadt Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Argeș Pitești Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.46 - 1.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.9
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AFC Hermannstadt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Argeș Pitești Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
AFC Hermannstadt Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 AFC Herma… vs Rapid 1-2
Sep 15 AFC Herma… vs Unirea Sl… 0-2
Aug 30 AFC Herma… vs Dinamo Bu… 2-0
Aug 25 AFC Herma… vs Farul Con… 1-0
Aug 16 AFC Herma… vs Petrolul … 1-1
Aug 10 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 1-0
Aug 03 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 2-2
Jul 26 AFC Herma… vs Uta Arad 1-0
Jul 18 AFC Herma… vs Metaloglo… 2-2
Jul 12 AFC Herma… vs FCSB 1-1
Argeș Pitești Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 1-0
Sep 13 Argeș Pit… vs Uta Arad 3-3
Aug 31 Argeș Pit… vs Metaloglo… 2-1
Aug 24 Argeș Pit… vs FCSB 0-2
Aug 18 Argeș Pit… vs Oţelul 2-0
Aug 11 Argeș Pit… vs FC Botosa… 3-1
Aug 02 Argeș Pit… vs Csikszere… 3-1
Jul 27 Argeș Pit… vs CFR 1907 … 0-2
Jul 18 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 3-1
Jul 11 Argeș Pit… vs Rapid 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Argeș Pitești in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 22, 2023 AFC Hermannstadt 2 - 1 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Feb 04, 2023 AFC Hermannstadt 1 - 1 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Sep 05, 2022 Argeș Pitești 0 - 1 AFC Hermannstadt Liga I
May 19, 2021 AFC Hermannstadt 1 - 0 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Apr 03, 2021 AFC Hermannstadt 4 - 1 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Dec 16, 2020 Argeș Pitești 2 - 2 AFC Hermannstadt Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AFC Hermannstadt Power 0
Argeș Pitești Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

AFC Hermannstadt Position

-10

Position Gap

5

Argeș Pitești Position

Home Win Rate: 8%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.