AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga I Sep 20, 2025

Oţelul

Home
VS
18:00

Universitatea Craiova

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Oţelul Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Universitatea Craiova Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.85 - 1.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.0
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Oţelul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Universitatea Craiova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Oţelul Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Oţelul vs FC Botosa… 0-1
Sep 01 Oţelul vs Csikszere… 1-1
Aug 24 Oţelul vs CFR 1907 … 4-1
Aug 18 Oţelul vs Argeș Pit… 2-0
Aug 11 Oţelul vs Rapid 1-1
Aug 04 Oţelul vs Unirea Sl… 0-0
Jul 27 Oţelul vs Dinamo Bu… 2-1
Jul 20 Oţelul vs Farul Con… 3-2
Jul 13 Oţelul vs Petrolul … 0-0
Apr 18 Oţelul vs Unirea Sl… 2-0
Universitatea Craiova Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Universit… vs Farul Con… 2-0
Aug 31 Universit… vs FC Botosa… 1-1
Aug 28 Universit… vs İstanbul … 3-1
Aug 24 Universit… vs Petrolul … 2-0
Aug 21 Universit… vs İstanbul … 1-2
Aug 17 Universit… vs Csikszere… 1-2
Aug 14 Universit… vs Slavia Pr… 4-3
Aug 10 Universit… vs AFC Herma… 1-0
Aug 07 Universit… vs Slavia Pr… 3-0
Aug 03 Universit… vs CFR 1907 … 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universitatea Craiova in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 21, 2025 Oţelul 0 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Feb 14, 2025 Universitatea Craio… 2 - 1 Oţelul Liga I
Jan 11, 2025 Universitatea Craio… 1 - 2 Oţelul Friendlies Clu…
Oct 18, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 2 - 0 Oţelul Liga I
Oct 05, 2024 Oţelul 1 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
May 19, 2024 Oţelul 0 - 2 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Apr 21, 2024 Oţelul 1 - 0 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Apr 18, 2024 Oţelul 2 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Cupa României
Apr 04, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Oţelul Cupa României
Dec 17, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Oţelul Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Oţelul Power 0
Universitatea Craiova Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Oţelul Position

-7

Position Gap

2

Universitatea Craiova Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 42%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.