AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga I Aug 24, 2025

Universitatea Craiova

Home
VS
15:30

Petrolul Ploiești

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Universitatea Craiova Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Petrolul Ploiești Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 1.83 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universitatea Craiova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Petrolul Ploiești Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Universitatea Craiova Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 Universit… vs İstanbul … 1-2
Aug 17 Universit… vs Csikszere… 1-2
Aug 14 Universit… vs Slavia Pr… 4-3
Aug 10 Universit… vs AFC Herma… 1-0
Aug 07 Universit… vs Slavia Pr… 3-0
Aug 03 Universit… vs CFR 1907 … 2-3
Jul 31 Universit… vs FK Saraje… 4-0
Jul 28 Universit… vs Universit… 2-1
Jul 24 Universit… vs FK Saraje… 2-1
Jul 18 Universit… vs Argeș Pit… 3-1
Petrolul Ploiești Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Petrolul … vs AFC Herma… 1-1
Aug 09 Petrolul … vs Universit… 1-1
Aug 01 Petrolul … vs Uta Arad 1-2
Jul 25 Petrolul … vs Metaloglo… 0-3
Jul 19 Petrolul … vs FCSB 0-1
Jul 13 Petrolul … vs Oţelul 0-0
May 05 Petrolul … vs Uta Arad 2-0
Apr 28 Petrolul … vs Farul Con… 0-1
Apr 11 Petrolul … vs AFC Herma… 1-1
Mar 28 Petrolul … vs Unirea Sl… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universitatea Craiova in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 14, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 4 - 1 Petrolul Ploiești Liga I
Dec 07, 2024 Petrolul Ploiești 1 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Dec 04, 2024 Petrolul Ploiești 0 - 2 Universitatea Craio… Cupa României
Aug 12, 2024 Petrolul Ploiești 0 - 0 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Aug 04, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 0 Petrolul Ploiești Liga I
Apr 13, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 1 - 2 Petrolul Ploiești Liga I
Feb 29, 2024 Petrolul Ploiești 2 - 3 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Nov 11, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 0 Petrolul Ploiești Liga I
Oct 22, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 1 - 3 Petrolul Ploiești Liga I
Jul 16, 2023 Petrolul Ploiești 1 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Universitatea Craiova to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Universitatea Craiova Power 0
Petrolul Ploiești Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Universitatea Craiova Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Petrolul Ploiești Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.