AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
SĂĽper Lig Aug 30, 2025

Kocaelispor FK

Home
VS
16:00

Kayserispor

Away
AI Predictions 44.0% Confidence
Kocaelispor FK Win
44.0%
Draw
25.2%
Kayserispor Win
30.8%
Home Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.84 - 1.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.2 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kocaelispor FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Kayserispor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Kocaelispor FK Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Kocaelisp… vs 76 Iğdır … 0-0
Aug 23 Kocaelisp… vs Fenerbahce 3-1
Aug 16 Kocaelisp… vs Samsunspor 0-1
Aug 11 Kocaelisp… vs Trabzonsp… 1-0
Jul 21 Kocaelisp… vs Fatih Kar… 0-0
Jun 01 Kocaelisp… vs Samsunspor 2-1
May 25 Kocaelisp… vs BB Bodrum… 1-1
May 18 Kocaelisp… vs Galatasar… 3-0
May 12 Kocaelisp… vs Antalyasp… 3-1
May 11 Kocaelisp… vs Keçiöreng… 4-1
Kayserispor Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Kayserisp… vs Galatasar… 0-4
Aug 17 Kayserisp… vs İstanbul … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kocaelispor FK struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kocaelispor FK to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kocaelispor FK Power 0
Kayserispor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Kocaelispor FK Position

+8

Position Gap

17

Kayserispor Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.