AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Feb 09, 2025

Heerenveen

Home
VS
15:00

FC Twente

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Heerenveen Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC Twente Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.02 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.6
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Heerenveen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
FC Twente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Heerenveen Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Heerenveen vs Fortuna S… 2-2
Jan 25 Heerenveen vs Groningen 1-0
Jan 19 Heerenveen vs Ajax 0-2
Jan 16 Heerenveen vs Quick Boys 3-2
Jan 12 Heerenveen vs NAC Breda 2-4
Dec 21 Heerenveen vs Almere Ci… 3-0
Dec 18 Heerenveen vs ASWH 0-1
Dec 14 Heerenveen vs PSV Eindh… 1-0
Dec 14 Heerenveen vs PSV Eindh… 1-0
Dec 08 Heerenveen vs Willem II 1-2
FC Twente Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 FC Twente vs GO Ahead … 2-2
Jan 19 FC Twente vs NAC Breda 2-1
Jan 15 FC Twente vs GO Ahead … 3-1
Jan 12 FC Twente vs Willem II 6-2
Dec 21 FC Twente vs AZ Alkmaar 1-0
Dec 21 FC Twente vs AZ Alkmaar 1-0
Dec 18 FC Twente vs Katwijk 2-3
Dec 15 FC Twente vs Groningen 2-0
Dec 06 FC Twente vs PSV Eindh… 6-1
Dec 01 FC Twente vs GO Ahead … 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Heerenveen struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • FC Twente struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 17, 2024 FC Twente 2 - 0 Heerenveen Pro League
Apr 03, 2024 Heerenveen 3 - 3 FC Twente Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Heerenveen Power 0
FC Twente Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Heerenveen Position

-3

Position Gap

7

FC Twente Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.