AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Apr 05, 2025

Groningen

Home
VS
15:00

PSV Eindhoven

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Groningen Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
PSV Eindhoven Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.30 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Groningen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
PSV Eindhoven Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Groningen Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Groningen vs Feyenoord 4-1
Mar 29 Groningen vs NAC Breda 1-1
Mar 16 Groningen vs Fortuna S… 1-0
Mar 01 Groningen vs FC Twente 1-1
Feb 15 Groningen vs Willem II 1-3
Feb 08 Groningen vs Nijmegen 2-1
Feb 02 Groningen vs Sparta Ro… 1-0
Jan 28 Groningen vs Heracles 1-1
Jan 25 Groningen vs Heerenveen 1-0
Jan 18 Groningen vs GO Ahead … 2-1
PSV Eindhoven Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 PSV Eindh… vs Ajax 0-2
Mar 15 PSV Eindh… vs Waalwijk 0-3
Mar 12 PSV Eindh… vs Arsenal 2-2
Mar 08 PSV Eindh… vs Heerenveen 2-1
Mar 07 PSV Eindh… vs Vitesse 3-3
Mar 04 PSV Eindh… vs Arsenal 1-7
Mar 03 PSV Eindh… vs Jong AZ 0-2
Mar 01 PSV Eindh… vs GO Ahead … 3-2
Feb 26 PSV Eindh… vs GO Ahead … 1-2
Feb 19 PSV Eindh… vs Juventus 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2024 PSV Eindhoven 5 - 0 Groningen Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Groningen Power 0
PSV Eindhoven Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Groningen Position

-7

Position Gap

1

PSV Eindhoven Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.