AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Mar 30, 2025

Famalicao

Home
VS
15:00

AVS

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Famalicao Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
AVS Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 79%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.04 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Famalicao Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
AVS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (29%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Famalicao Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Famalicao vs Sp Lisbon 3-1
Mar 10 Famalicao vs Rio Ave FC 1-0
Mar 01 Famalicao vs Nacional 2-1
Feb 23 Famalicao vs Moreirense 2-0
Feb 17 Famalicao vs GIL Vicen… 0-2
Feb 08 Famalicao vs Guimaraes 0-0
Jan 31 Famalicao vs Boavista 0-2
Jan 25 Famalicao vs Estrela d… 0-0
Jan 17 Famalicao vs Benfica 4-0
Jan 05 Famalicao vs Casa Pia … 1-1
AVS Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 AVS vs FC Porto 2-0
Mar 08 AVS vs Arouca 0-1
Mar 02 AVS vs Farense 0-1
Feb 23 AVS vs Sporting … 2-2
Feb 23 AVS vs Sp Lisbon 2-2
Feb 16 AVS vs Rio Ave FC 1-1
Feb 08 AVS vs Santa Cla… 1-2
Feb 01 AVS vs Guimaraes 2-0
Jan 27 AVS vs GIL Vicen… 1-0
Jan 19 AVS vs Nacional 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Famalicao in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2024 AVS 2 - 3 Famalicao Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Famalicao to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Famalicao Power 0
AVS Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Famalicao Position

+11

Position Gap

18

AVS Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.