AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Feb 22, 2025

Mantova

Home
VS
15:00

Bari

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Mantova Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Bari Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.38 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mantova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Bari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Mantova Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 Mantova vs Palermo 2-2
Feb 08 Mantova vs Sassuolo 0-3
Feb 01 Mantova vs Monza 3-1
Jan 25 Mantova vs Sampdoria 2-2
Jan 18 Mantova vs Cittadella 1-2
Jan 12 Mantova vs Cosenza 2-2
Dec 29 Mantova vs Reggiana … 0-2
Dec 29 Mantova vs Reggiana … 0-2
Dec 26 Mantova vs Spezia 1-1
Dec 21 Mantova vs Frosinone 3-1
Bari Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Bari vs Cremonese 1-1
Feb 09 Bari vs Juve Stab… 3-1
Feb 02 Bari vs Frosinone 2-1
Jan 25 Bari vs Cosenza 1-1
Jan 18 Bari vs Brescia 2-2
Jan 12 Bari vs Reggiana … 0-0
Dec 29 Bari vs Spezia 2-0
Dec 29 Bari vs Spezia 2-0
Dec 26 Bari vs Palermo 1-0
Dec 26 Bari vs Palermo 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2024 Bari 2 - 0 Mantova Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mantova to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mantova Power 28
Bari Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Mantova Position

+1

Position Gap

19

Bari Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.